Faculty & Staff Directory
PhD, Applied Physics, Harvard, 1993
I am a climate scientist who studies the extent to which future climate changes can be predicted on time scales from weeks to years. I often use statistical methods and climate models in my research.
Currently, I am a full professor in the Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences at George Mason University, and a senior research scientist at the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies. I also currently serve as co-Chief Editor of Journal of Climate.
- Shukla, J., R. Hagedorn, B. Hoskins, J. Kinter, J. Marotzke, M. Miller, T.N. Palmer, and J. Slingo, 2009: Revolution in climate Prediction is Both Necessary and Possible: A Declaration at the World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction. Bulletin of the Amer. Meteo. Soc., 2 175-178. http://cola.gmu.edu/people/Shukla%27s%20Articles/2009/Revolution.pdf
- Shukla, J., et. al., 2000: Dynamical Seasonal Prediction, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 1-14. http://cola.gmu.edu/people/Shukla%27s%20Articles/2000/Dynamical%20Seasonal.pdf
- Shukla, J., 1998: Predictability in the Midst of Chaos: A scientific basis for climate forecasting. Science, 282, 728-731. http://cola.gmu.edu/people/Shukla%27s%20Articles/1998/Predictability.pdf
- Shukla, J., C. A. Nobre and P. J. Sellers, 1990: Amazonia deforestation and climate change. Science, 247, 1322 1325. http://cola.gmu.edu/people/Shukla%27s%20Articles/1990/Amazonia%20deforestation.pdf
- Shukla, J. and Y. Mintz, Influence of land surface evapotranspiration on the earth's climate. Science 215 (1982): 1498 1501. http://cola.gmu.edu/people/Shukla%27s%20Articles/1982/Influence.pdf
Distinguished Teacher Award by Derek Bok Center for Teaching and Learning (Harvard)
Breaking New Ground in Weather Forecasting
(Inside Science) -- Today, if you're wondering whether rain will wash out your upcoming weekend camping trip, you can whip out your smartphone and check a 10- or even 15-day forecast. And if you're hoping for a white winter, you can turn to a seasonal outlook to judge the chances for extra snowfall. But what if you want to know if the average weather will be out-of-the-ordinary in the second half of the coming month?